Saturday, March 30, 2013

NBA Analysis: Pure Scorers at SF

In order to create the All-NBA pure team (which Danny Green has already earned a spot on with his three-point shooting ability), we need a scorer. For this breakdown, I have decided to use the small forwards, because they are frequently used on NBA teams as scorers. So, here are all of the NBA small forwards who average 11.5+ points a game:
Pierce and Anthony are among 17 small forwards on this list
Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City
Carmelo Anthony, New York
LeBron James, Miami
Paul Pierce, Boston
Rudy Gay, Toronto
Paul George, Indiana
Dalino Gallinari, Denver
Luol Deng, Chicago
Chandler Parsons, Houston
Nicolas Batum, Portland
Evan Turner, Philadelphia
Vince Carter, Dallas
Metta World Peace, LA Lakers
Andre Iguodala, Denver
Corey Brewer, Denver
Jeff Green, Boston
Martell Webster, Washington

These are our 17 top scorers at the small forward position. Now, we need to look at some highlights of their scoring abilities.

Now that we have seen highlights, I am going to narrow the list down to top 10 scorers and their averages:
Indiana's Paul George is still on the list after one cut
Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City (28.4)
Carmelo Anthony, New York (27.4)
LeBron James, Miami (26.6)
Paul Pierce, Boston (18.7)
Rudy Gay, Toronto (18.3)
Paul George, Indiana (17.6)
Dalino Gallinari, Denver (16.2)
Luol Deng, Chicago (16.1)
Chandler Parsons, Houston (15.1)
Nicolas Batum, Portland (14.7)


Now, look at the conferences. 6/10 players on this list play in the Eastern Conference, `while 3 out of those 6 are in the Atlantic Division. All of these players are on their own, because none of their teammates are here. Six of these players have made the all-star team, and half of these players were drafted before 2007. This list is now ranked by points per game, so I will re-rank it as to the amount of points they have each scored this season:
LeBron and KD have scored the most points this season
Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City (1,962)
LeBron James, Miami (1,784)
Carmelo Anthony, New York (1,453)
Paul Pierce, Boston (1,231)
Paul George, Indiana (1,179)
Rudy Gay, Toronto (1,136)
Dalino Gallinari, Denver (1,053)
Chandler Parsons, Houston (1,013)
Luol Deng, Chicago (1,001)
Nicolas Batum, Portland (988)



To be fair, I am going to eliminate every scorer who has not scored at least 1,100 points this season. So we are down to six competitors for a spot on the All-NBA pure team:

Kevin Durant
LeBron James
Carmelo Anthony
Paul Pierce
Paul George
Rudy Gay
Now, here are the top scoring teammates of these competitors, to really see if they are pure:
Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City: 23.2
J.R. Smith, New York: 17.7
Dwayne Wade, Miami: 21.3
Kevin Garnett, Boston: 14.9
David West, Indiana: 17.2
DeMar DeRozan, Toronto: 17.6
So, to rank these six competitors, I will multiply their teammate's points per game by ten, then I will subtract that number from the number of points they have scored this season. After that, I will multiply their points per game by ten and add that to their score. Here are the final results:

Winner: Kevin Durant--2,014

2nd--LeBron James: 1837
3rd--Carmelo Anthony: 1550
4th--Paul Pierce: 1269
5th--Paul George: 1183
6th--Rudy Gay: 1143
Well, it looks like Kevin Durant will be joining Danny Green on our All-NBA Pure Team. Thanks for reading today, and look for rebounding power forwards next time!


Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Analysis: Best "Shooting" Guards in the NBA

Today I am analyzing one of the key positions in basketball, the shooting guard position. I will rank all of the best three-point shooters in the NBA at the shooting guard position. Most of the time, shooting guards are meant to be three point shooters, but unfortunately, a lot aren't. This post will analyze those shooting guards who can shoot three-point shots.
Here are all of the shooting guards who shoot .380 or better from behind the arc:
Vince Carter and J.J. Redick are among 18 shooting guards
who hit 38% of their three-pointers
Danny Green, San Antonio
Kevin Martin, Oklahoma City
Roger Mason, New Orleans
O.J. Mayo, Dallas
Thabo Sefolosha, Oklahoma City
Ray Allen, Miami
Randy Foye, Utah
Ben Gordon, Charlotte
Vince Carter, Dallas
Gordon Hayward, Utah
Wesley Matthews, Portland
Anthony Morrow, Dallas
Klay Thompson, Golden State
Paul George, Indiana
J.J. Redick, Milwaukee
Jamal Crawford, LA Clippers
Leandro Barbosa, Washington
Joe Johnson, Brooklyn
 
We have a decent group here. Eighteen shooting guards shoot .380 from behind the NBA's three-point line. To analyze this even more, though, let's look at the form of some of these players' shots.
 

Ray Allen

Kevin Martin

Randy Foye

J.J. Redick

 
Now, lets narrow this list down to the top ten shooters at the shooting guard position. Here they are:
1. Danny Green
2. Kevin Martin
3. Roger Mason
4. O.J. Mayo
5. Thabo Sefolosha
6. Ray Allen
7. Randy Foye
8. Ben Gordon
9. Vince Carter
10. Gordon Hayward
Here, we have two Thunder players, two Mavericks players, and two Jazz players. Only two players on this list (Ray Allen and Ben Gordon) currently play in the Eastern Conference. To analyze this even more, let's re-rank these players to see who has hit the most three pointers this season.
1. Danny Green, 140
2. Randy Foye, 133
3. Kevin Martin, 132
4. O.J. Mayo, 120
5. Vince Carter, 119
6. Ray Allen, 101
7. Ben Gordon, 85
8. Thabo Sefolosha, 82
9. Gordon Hayward, 64
10. Roger Mason, 56
As you can see, San Antonio guard Danny Green stayed at the top of the list. Let's narrow this down more by cutting off everyone who hasn't made at least 100 threes. These 6 are left:

Danny Green

Kevin Martin

O.J. Mayo

Ray Allen

Randy Foye

 Vince Carter

So the question is: which one of these shooting guards is purest? Is it someone young, like Danny Green, or is it a veteran, like Ray Allen? The only fair way to rank them is to add together the number of threes they have made with their percentages. So here are the final rankings, with each score:

Winner: Danny Green: 582

2nd: Kevin Martin: 561
3rd: O.J. Mayo: 540
4th: Randy Foye: 534
5th: Vince Carter: 529
6th: Ray Allen: 511

 




Thursday, March 7, 2013

Predicting What the Playoffs Would Look Like Starting Today

The playoffs could be interesting this year, and we never know what surprises could happen. Will the Lakers make a late push? Who will be the number one seed in the West? What teams will end up with home court advantage? We don't know for sure the answers to these questions, because the playoffs are months away. But this is a prediction of what would happen if the playoffs started today.
First Round
Eastern Conference Matchups:
1 Miami vs 8 Milwaukee
2 New York vs 7 Boston
3 Indiana vs 6 Chicago
4 Brooklyn vs 5 Atlanta
Western Conference Matchups:
1 San Antonio vs 8 Utah
2 Oklahoma City vs 7 Houston
3 LA Clippers vs 6 Golden State
4 Memphis vs 5 Denver
 

Miami vs Milwaukee

The Heat are on a 16 game win streak, and even though the Bucks are hot, they have no chance against the champs.
Prediction: Miami 4, Milwaukee 1

New York vs Boston

This would be a very interesting match up, because the Knicks have never been able to defeat the Celtics in the playoffs. Even though the Celtics are contenders, though, they have no Rajon Rondo. The Knicks would be able to pull this one out.
Prediction: New York 4, Boston 2

Indiana vs Chicago

With a central division match up, this one would be fun to watch. But if the playoffs started today, the Bulls would not have Derrick Rose, and they would not be able to defeat the Pacers.
Prediction: Indiana 4, Chicago 1

Brooklyn vs Atlanta

Even though Brooklyn would have home-court advantage, the Hawks are doing well right now. If they can get Josh Smith going, I think they would be able to win this one.
Prediction: Atlanta 4, Brooklyn 3

San Antonio vs Utah

You are thinking that the Jazz would be no match for the Spurs, but San Antonio would have no Tony Parker if the playoffs started today. The Jazz just got Mo Williams back, but the Spurs would still be able to win.
Prediction: San Antonio 4, Utah 2

Oklahoma City vs Houston

This would be a very interesting thing to watch, because of James Harden being pitted against his former team. However, Houston would not be able to defeat OKC.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 4, Houston 2

LA Clippers vs Golden State

Out of all of the first round match ups, I would be most interested in this one. The Warriors are winning their regular season series vs LA 3-1 right now, and Stephen Curry would surely have something in store. However, Lob City is not getting out in the first round.
Prediction: LA Clippers 4, Golden State 3

Memphis vs Denver

With Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol, Memphis is doing well. But if you look at Denver, they are smoking. Denver is going to the next round.
Prediction: Denver 4, Memphis 2
 
Second Round
Eastern Conference Matchups:
1 Miami vs 5 Atlanta
2 New York vs 3 Indiana
Western Conference Matchups:
1 San Antonio vs 5 Denver
2 Oklahoma City vs 3 LA Clippers
 

Miami vs Atlanta

The Hawks would have a very tough time in the playoffs. The Heat wouldn't.
Prediction: Miami 4, Atlanta 0

New York vs Indiana

Now this is the kind of match up I'm talking about. The old rivalry pitted back together again. This would be fun to watch. If Paul George could start heating up, and Melo was still struggling with that knee, then New York is in for an upset.
Prediction: Indiana 4, New York 3

San Antonio vs Denver

This would be the upset of the century. Tony Parker would be out with an injury, and Denver would be fun to watch.
Prediction: Denver 4, San Antonio 3

Oklahoma City vs LA Clippers

This is even better than Indiana vs New York. Chris Paul would be under a ton of pressure to beat Oklahoma City. Kevin Durant would have a lot of pressure against Lob City too. However, the Thunder would pull it out.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 4, LA Clippers 3
 
 
Conference Finals
Eastern Conference:
1 Miami vs 3 Indiana
Western Conference:
2 Oklahoma City vs 5 Denver
 

Miami vs Indiana

This would be fun to watch, but the champs are just dominant. The conference finals wouldn't be as good as the second round. Miami would win.
Prediction: Miami 4, Indiana 2

Oklahoma City vs Denver

This would also be fun to watch, but Denver's great season comes to an end here. They have no superstar to challenge KD.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 4, Denver 2

 

The Finals

1 Miami vs 2 Oklahoma City
 
 

Game 1

The Heat would have home-court advantage in this Finals re-match, and the crowd on their side. However, the Thunder would come to Miami with a lot of energy too. This would come down to the buzzer, and don't be surprised when Russell Westbrook rims the shot and complains the call.
Prediction: Miami 94, Oklahoma City 92

Game 2

With the Heat up 1-0, the Thunder would be under a lot of pressure to win this game. If they didn't, that would be horrendous for them, but they are strong enough.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 90, Miami 84

Game 3

This is where Oklahoma City would go back home. After winning the previous game, they would have motivation, drive, and a crowd behind them to win this game. I would be surprised if Miami were to pull off the first game in Oklahoma City.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 110, Miami 100

Game 4

By this time, LeBron James would realize that there is no more time to mess around. The Heat would go back to their dominant form, and pull it off.
Prediction: Miami 108, Oklahoma City 89

Game 5

With the series tied 2-2, this would be a pivotal game for both teams to win. They would both have motivation, and they would both come into this game with passion. This would come down to KD winning it at the buzzer. It would have been LeBron, but he doesn't have his fans behind him.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 121, Miami 120, OT

Game 6

So LeBron goes back to Miami with his team down 3-2 in the series. His fans believe in him, his teammates trust him, and he has a white jersey on. What does he have to lose? He gives it to Ray Allen for a three to seal the deal in this low-scoring affair.
Prediction: Miami 78, Oklahoma City 70
 

Game 7

Now, this would be the game of the century. Game seven in Miami. The last time the Finals went to game seven was in 2010, when the Lakers were able to beat the Celtics. This match up would be as good as Magic vs Bird, and it would be a close one.
Prediction: Oklahoma City 96, Miami 90
 

FINAL PREDICTION: Oklahoma City would win the Finals if the playoffs started today.